A time series bootstrap procedure for interpolation intervals
نویسندگان
چکیده
A sieve bootstrap procedure for constructing interpolation intervals for a general class of linear processes is proposed. This sieve bootstrap provides consistent estimators of the conditional distribution of the missing values, given the observed data. A Monte Carlo experiment is used to show the finite sample properties of the sieve bootstrap and finally, the performance of the proposed method is illustrated with a real data example. © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
منابع مشابه
Semiparametric Bootstrap Prediction Intervals in time Series
One of the main goals of studying the time series is estimation of prediction interval based on an observed sample path of the process. In recent years, different semiparametric bootstrap methods have been proposed to find the prediction intervals without any assumption of error distribution. In semiparametric bootstrap methods, a linear process is approximated by an autoregressive process. The...
متن کاملBootstrap Prediction Intervals for Power-transformed Time Series
_________________________________________________________________ In this paper we propose a bootstrap resampling scheme to construct prediction intervals for future values of a variable after a linear ARIMA model has been fitted to a power transformation of it. The advantages over existing methods for computing prediction intervals of power transformed time series are that the proposed bootstr...
متن کاملA Sieve Bootstrap approach to constructing Prediction Intervals for Long Memory Time series
This paper is concerned with the construction of bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregressive fractionally integrated movingaverage processes which is a special class of long memory time series. For linear short-range dependent time series, the bootstrap based prediction interval is a good nonparametric alternative to those constructed under parameter assumptions. In the long memory case, ...
متن کاملEstimation in Simple Step-Stress Model for the Marshall-Olkin Generalized Exponential Distribution under Type-I Censoring
This paper considers the simple step-stress model from the Marshall-Olkin generalized exponential distribution when there is time constraint on the duration of the experiment. The maximum likelihood equations for estimating the parameters assuming a cumulative exposure model with lifetimes as the distributed Marshall Olkin generalized exponential are derived. The likelihood equations do not lea...
متن کاملBootstrap Prediction Intervals in State Space Models
Prediction intervals in State Space models can be obtained by assuming Gaussian innovations and using the prediction equations of the Kalman filter, where the true parameters are substituted by consistent estimates. This approach has two limitations. First, it does not incorporate the uncertainty due to parameter estimation. Second, the Gaussianity assumption of future innovations may be inaccu...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
دوره 52 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2008